Clinton Wins Big in West Virginia But Still Expected to Lose

Hillary, as expected, won by a big, double-digit margin in West Virginia, 67% to 27%, but it might not make much of a difference. Obama just keeps rolling along, picking up one superdelegate after another, including many former Clinton backers.

The overwhelmingly white, working-class state (only 15% of the population have college degrees) came out for Clinton, who needs a big boost to stay in the race. Race emerged as an unusually salient factor.The number of white Democratic voters who said race had influenced their choices on Tuesday was among the highest recorded in voter surveys in the nomination fight. Two in 10 white West Virginia voters said race was an important factor in their votes. More than 8 in 10 who said it factored in their votes backed Mrs. Clinton, according to exit polls.

With Barack solidly ahead of Clinton in the delegate fight, the West Virginia results are unlikely to hurt his chances of winning the nomination.

Yesterday, James Carville, the Democratic strategist and long-time Clinton loyalist, told a Furman University audience that Clinton’s chances of actually winning the nomination are nil, if not actually gone.

Saying he believes Clinton will remain in the race “until the last dog dies”, Carville said:

I’m for Senator Clinton, but I think the great likelihood is that Obama will be the nominee.I still hear some dogs barking.

A colorful but strangely apt analogy, as it’s been a dogfight all the way. It was Bill Clinton, during a low period in his 1992 campaign, who popularized the phrase when he said in New Hampshire:

If you stick with me, I’ll stick with you until the last dog dies.

However, even if Clinton won all the delegates in the remaining contests, a practical impossibility, she could not gather the delegates needed to win the nomination. It seems at this point that she’s clutching at straws. Her fading hopes rest in having the delegations from Florida and Michigan, where she won, included in the final delegate tally. Delegations from the two states have been barred from the Democratic national convention in August because they held primaries before party rules allowed. However, this possibility would likely be be shot down by the superdelegates.

Looks like the Democartic top dog will be Obama. How will he fare against a pitbull like John McCain ?

In a major blow to Clinton’s fading campaign, ex-presidential candidate John Edwards endorsed Barack Obama. Said Edwards:

The Democratic voters in America have made their choice, and so have I. There is one man who knows in his heart that it is time to create one America – not two – and that man is Barack Obama.

3 thoughts on “Clinton Wins Big in West Virginia But Still Expected to Lose”

  1. You’re right. Hillary will not be Barack’s running mate. She will be a “Trojan Rabbit” (according to Maureen Dowd of the NYT) who will undermine Obama at every turn. He would do better to get someone who will appeal to Hillary’s constituency, i.e. white, middle-class Americans, Latinos, immigrants etc. Someone like John Edwards.

  2. Obama’s entire campaign is riding on the idea of “change”. I don’t see how that strategy will fly with Bill and Hill in the background. Hilary has resorted to soooo much negative publicity and downright cheap tactics to even warrant consideration.

    Edwards will be an interesting choice. He’s a populist and he can get the “crimson neck” vote (non-college graducate, working class, white) were Obama has been struggling.

    WV is sooo clueless.

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